Our new paper in Ecography is out!

We use a new approach to climate change biogeography and reveal the limitations that warming will impose on the distribution of boreal plants in the future.

We rely on Liebig’s Law of Minimum to estimate the effect of temperature on the maximum potential abundance that a species can attain at a certain location, using quantile regression models. We forecast potential shifts in abundance of common understory plant species of Finland under future warming scenarios, and predict average northward distribution shifts of 6-8 km year-1.

You can access the complete text at: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/ecog.04720